Sold House Prices
The problem is rather that the boom was so extreme that I was sure the
bust would come far sooner and be much deeper. One way to see this is to
look at “real” house prices, adjusted for inflation by Nationwide. They
peaked at £128,000 in 1989 (measured in today’s money); the following
slump ended only six years later, after prices had fallen by almost 40
per cent. The more recent boom makes that one look puny: as early as
2002, real house prices had topped £150,000 in today’s money and I was
anticipating the mother of all crashes in 2003. And 2004. And 2005, 2006
and 2007.
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